Jeff Wilson

Jeff WilsonRushing Yards

Player Props - Week 17

Patriots vs. Dolphins

Right now, Jeff Wilson's rushing yards prop is set at 37.5 yards (-110/-120).
The public has bet the OVER up to 37.5 (-110) after it opened @ 36.5 (-115).
Pros
  • Jeffery Wilson has been a more integral piece of his team's running game this year (47.0% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (27.9%).
  • The Miami Dolphins O-line ranks as the 7th-best in the league this year at blocking for the run game.
  • Jeffery Wilson has picked up 55.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the highest figures in football among RBs (76th percentile).
  • Jeffery Wilson's rushing effectiveness has improved this year, notching 5.27 yards-per-carry vs a measly 3.77 mark last year.
  • The New England Patriots defensive tackles profile as the 5th-worst collection of DTs in football this year in regard to stopping the run.
Cons
  • The Miami Dolphins will be forced to use backup quarterback Teddy Bridgewater this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The Dolphins are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins as the 10th-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 38.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Miami Dolphins have run the least plays in football this year, totaling a measly 52.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have rushed for the 5th-least yards in football (just 105 per game) versus the New England Patriots defense this year.
Projection
THE BLITZ46Rushing Yards