Below are odds from my model for this week’s PGA Tour event – The Sony Open. You can use these to compare to a bookmaker’s odds straight up, or you could use them in your own model to make adjustments. These odds are meant to be a tool for you to use how you best see fit. Various data variables are used in my model before the field is ran through simulations.
If a golfer does not have odds, that implies that I either did not have enough data to confidently set a win probability or that golfer did not win any of the simulations I ran.
Also take note that these numbers do not include any implied juice that you will find when referencing bookmaker’s odds, which is why the worst golfers in the field will have extremely high odds...
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