This week’s golf best bets will be coming from the Shriners Hospital for Children Open, the BMW PGA Championship and the KPMG Women’s PGA Championship. As always, one of the main goals of this article is to expose other golf betting opportunities outside of the PGA Tour. Markets are smaller and less popular, which often provides the largest edges (T20s/10s/matchups).

I strongly encourage you, if you’re a golf fan, to start paying attention to the European Tour, Korn Ferry Tour and LPGA Tour. You will benefit when golfers make the jump to the PGA Tour or in majors when the fields are mixed. The LPGA and European tours have some of the better head-to-head action each week as well. And as they grow, the offerings should grow as well.

BMW PGA Championship

Brandon Stone +162 vs. Branden Grace

If you prefer to weigh course history into your equation at a decent clip you may scoff at this tip. Grace has played well at Wentworth, while Stone, in a small sample, has struggled. That said, recently, I don’t have nearly the gap the market seems to in this match up. Semi-recent form is almost a wash, and Grace’s even longer term isn’t much better than Stone’s. It’s more of a fade of Grace than it is Stone. We obviously can only compare Euro to PGA strokes gained which gets dicey if you’re not weighting them properly, but Grace hasn’t had much of a game outside of some iron play. Albeit in weaker fields, Stone has gained quite nicely tee to green and I think it’s enough to be a much smaller dog in this match up.

Shriners Hospital for Children Open

J.T. Poston -107 vs. Luke List

I almost had a big-ticket victory with Poston last week and I like him again this week more than the market, specifically in this matchup. Poston and List are almost opposite golfers. List excels OTT and progressively gets worse as he gets closer to the green, whereas Poston is slightly above-average OTT, but excels on the greens. I thought the course was a good fit for Poston last week and view TPC Summerlin in a similar light. It’s another place where putting contests break out and golfers can climb the leader board relying on OTT and putting. I made Poston a heavier favorite, pushing -130.

KPMG Women’s PGA Championship

Danielle Kang +1600

It’s a major championship for the LPGA, so we’re going to chase a winner with Kang. She has both the best recent form and long-term form in my model, and I made her close to +1000, which is quite the difference for an outright. Kang won back to back events after the LPGA fired back up late summer, followed by a top-five. She had a few middling events before bouncing back with a T12 and T11 coming into this week’s major. Kang leads the tour this year with 4.2 birdies per round (min. 20 rounds), showing she will give herself a fair amount of opportunities and she’s looked good on the putting service as well. I’m looking for her to get her third victory of the season at this major championship.