The NFL regular season is close to two-thirds of the way done. Wins and losses take on additional meaning at this time of the year as they could mean the difference between making or missing the playoffs. Injuries are starting to pile up and we have a lot of next man up situations. Teams will be leaning heavily on their best players down the stretch and that creates situations for us to find some good prop market values.
Here are a few of the best ones on PointsBet for Week 13.
Top 3 prop bets at PointsBet for NFL Week 13
Here are three prop plays I am looking at on PointsBet.
Myles Gaskin Finds the End Zone
Anytime TD, +125
Myles Gaskin started the season as the main back in Miami. He lost his grip on the workhorse role for a few weeks but now seems to have taken it back over the last few games. He has seen no fewer than 15 touches in each of the last six games and has scored touchdowns in four of those six. He has scored three on the ground and two more through the air in those matchups, so he is being used heavily in all situations. I expected to see this number below even money, so to get it at +125 feels like a gift.
Darnell Mooney Keeps His Hot Stretch Going
Anytime TD, +185
With Allen Robinson being banged up and missing games, Darnell Mooney has stepped up as the No. 1 pass-catching option for the Bears. I know the matchup is tough, but it also projects to be a game where the script skews pass-heavy. Marquise Goodwin is only +190 to score a touchdown, and the chances on Mooney scoring are far greater than Goodwin, who is very deep-ball dependent. I expected this to be more in the +150 to +160 range, which means we are getting about 30-40 basis points above fair value.
Cordarrelle Patterson Is the Falcons’ Top Weapon
Anytime TD, +100
Cordarrelle Patterson is not your typical running back. In fact, he is not really a running back at all. He is a Swiss Army knife-type of player and still does not get the respect he deserves for all the good things he has done. He was the Falcons’ whole offense last week in their win over Jacksonville. When he missed games, this offense was dreadfully bad. Even when he plays, they are not good, but he does offer them a weapon that has paid off this year. C-Patt has nine touchdowns in 10 games this year. It is a rough matchup here against Tampa Bay, but they will need him to have a big game if they are going to score any points. Whether it be on the ground running or through the air from the backfield or lining up at WR, Patterson is the No. 1 weapon in this offense. Even money feels a little too cheap for a guy who has as big a role as he does for his team.