Juwan Johnson

Juwan JohnsonReceiving Yards

Player Props - Week 7

Cardinals vs. Saints

Right now, Juwan Johnson's receiving yards prop is set at 26.5 yards (-122/+100).
The public has bet the OVER up to 26.5 (-122) after it opened @ 22.5 (-115).
Pros
  • The New Orleans Saints will be rolling out backup QB Andy Dalton in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 130.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Juwan Johnson has run fewer routes this season (68.2% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (34.8%).
  • THE BLITZ projects Juwan Johnson to accumulate 4.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among tight ends.
Cons
  • THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 5th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 55.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 34.2 pass attempts per game against the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 10th-least in the NFL.
  • Juwan Johnson's ball-catching skills have declined this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 63.2% to 60.1%.
  • Juwan Johnson's pass-game efficiency has declined this year, totaling a mere 7.17 yards-per-target vs a 9.21 rate last year.
  • Juwan Johnson has been among the weakest TEs in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging a mere 2.71 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 13th percentile.
Projection
THE BLITZ30Receiving Yards