Cam Akers

Cam AkersRushing Yards

Player Props - Week 16

Rams vs. Broncos

Right now, Cam Akers's rushing yards prop is set at 52.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 52.5 (-115) after it opened @ 54.5 (-114).
Pros
  • THE BLITZ projects Cam Akers to total 16.6 carries this week, on average, putting him in the 86th percentile among running backs.
  • THE BLITZ projects Cam Akers to be a more integral piece of his team's run game this week (63.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (50.8% in games he has played).
  • The Denver Broncos defensive ends profile as the 3rd-worst unit in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.
  • The Denver Broncos have stacked the box versus opponents on just 9.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the NFL. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
  • The Los Angeles Rams have gone no-huddle on 15.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (3rd-most in football). This quickens the pace, resulting in more volume and stat-padding.
Cons
  • The Los Angeles Rams will be rolling with backup QB Baker Mayfield in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The Rams are a big 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • The Rams have been the 8th-least run-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 38.3% run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Rams to call the 3rd-least total plays among all teams this week with 63.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Cam Akers's ground efficiency (3.48 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football this year (2nd percentile among running backs).
Projection
THE BLITZ69Rushing Yards