The one NFL award that can see a lot of debate for which player is deserving is the NFL Offensive Player of the Year. Is it for skill players? Is it for quarterbacks? Is it just for the player with the best stats? Let’s try to settle that debate, as a wide receiver with the Los Angeles Rams has returned as the favorite for NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds after winning it in 2021.
Rams All-Pro receiver Cooper Kupp is the +800 betting favorite at BetMGM for odds to win NFL Offensive Player of the Year for the second year in a row. The sixth-year pass-catcher snagged the triple crown for receiving stats last season, leading the NFL in catches, receiving yards and receiving touchdowns. Much like Titans running back Derrick Henry last season, Kupp has a bit of history against him as a winner of NFL OPOY has not won in back-to-back seasons since Marshall Faulk of the Rams, who won it three times in a row 1999-2001.
After Kupp for NFL OPOY odds is Indianapolis Colts running back Jonathan Taylor at +850. Taylor did his best Derrick Henry impression last season by being the quintessential NFL bell-cow back and led the NFL in rushing yards, carries and rushing touchdowns. Given how he performed in 2021 and the Colts stout offensive line, a genuine betting argument could be made for JT to be the favorite for NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds.
Following these two studs are Henry (+1100), San Francisco 49ers WR Deebo Samuel (+1100) and new Las Vegas wide receiver Davante Adams (+1200) to round out the top five betting options for odds to win NFL OPOY.
Who will win 2022 NFL Offensive Player of the Year?
Here are the top 25 players on the list for NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds. To see the full list, head over to BetMGM and see all the betting options.
Why Is Cooper Kupp the Favorite for NFL Offensive Player of the Year Odds?
Excellent hands, shiftiness, tough as nails and lateral quickness to make defenders miss are just some of the smaller reasons for why Los Angeles Rams wide receiver Cooper Kupp should be favored for odds to win NFL Offensive Player. However, the main reason why is simple: he plays for the Rams. Having an offensive scheme implemented by head coach Sean McVay has routinely put Kupp in the best position to succeed and when you pair coaching with high-end talent, the sky's the limit for on-the-field production.
As the focal point of the Rams offense last season, Kupp managed to have 145 catches and 1,947 receiving yards, both marks rank second all-time for receptions/yards in a single season. Not to keep simplifying the argument but when you nearly break NFL offensive records, award voters tend to take notice.
That said, Kupp may ball out on the field, but if the supporting cast isn’t elite and the Rams aren’t winning games, stats can tend to be fluff for NFL OPOY voters. The good news is LA, despite seemingly never having cap space, were able to bring back the gang again for another title run after winning the Super Bowl in February. Most notably, All-Pro defensive tackle Aaron Donald, who recently signed for the largest non-QB contract in NFL history.
Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford seems to have a knack for getting extra yards/stats for his receivers. It shouldn’t be a coincidence that he was the QB for the two receivers (Calvin Johnson, Kupp) that had the most receiving yards in a single season. Stafford threw 601 pass attempts last season which was the most by him since 2014 and that trend will likely continue in year 2 with the Rams.
With Kupp now having WR Allen Robinson on the other side of the field along with the deep threat of Van Jefferson lurking, the former third round pick could have another stellar season. It just may not be enough for voters to sway back to Kupp with so many other worthy candidates for NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds. At +800, look further down the list for juicier options.
Long Shot Bets for Odds to Win NFL Offensive Player of the Year
Part of the reason you want to look down the list for odds to win NFL Offensive Player of the Year is there can be tremendous value for long shots. Last season, Kupp wasn’t even listed in the top-25 betting options for the award at +5000 odds and went on to win it. Football is a brutal game for injuries and even players like Derrick Henry, who opened as the betting favorite in 2021, looked bulletproof coming into last year but missed nine games after suffering a foot injury.
Here are two “long shot” bets for NFL OPOY odds and why they’re worth betting for the 2022 season:
Justin Jefferson — +2000 for NFL OPOY Odds
The first of two LSU Tigers receivers who are taking over the NFL is Justin Jefferson with the Minnesota Vikings. Since being taken with 22nd pick by the Vikings in 2020, Jefferson has done nothing but rack up receiving yards and catch touchdowns. In two seasons with Minnesota, he’s caught 196 balls and 3,016 receiving yards while bringing in 18 touchdowns.
Stats aside, Jefferson’s potential for odds to win NFL Offensive Player of the Year come down to his quarterback, Kirk Cousins. In four seasons with Minnesota, Cousins has thrown for over 30 TDs in three of four seasons but in order for Jefferson to win this award, Cousins likely needs to have close to 40 TD passes and the Vikings need to win at least 10 games.
The theme with receivers winning this award is they have to break or come close to breaking regular-season records like Kupp and Michael Thomas did. Jefferson certainly has the talent to do it, but other factors will need to come into play. The good news is the Vikings moved to Kevin O’Connell as their new head coach and he’s a Sean McVay disciple who preaches offense. This means we could see more offensive explosion out of the Vikings offense in 2022 with Jefferson being the biggest benefactor.
Ja’Marr Chase — +3000 for NFL OPOY Odds
This bet is trying to catch the tail of a comet, because Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Ja'Marr Chase looked to be on a rocket ship last season. The reigning NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year showed the Bengals weren’t crazy for taking him with the fourth overall pick in the 2021 NFL Draft and he responded with a rookie season for the ages. 81 catches, 1,455 receiving yards (fourth in NFL) and 13 touchdowns (third in NFL) while helping the Bengals to win the AFC North division title.
Part of the strategy when betting on NFL futures is trying to get ahead of the market for the best odds/value. The Bengals face two high-profile squads out of the gate in 2022 in the Pittsburgh Steelers and Dallas Cowboys. If Chase comes out of the gate with at least 200 receiving yards and two touchdowns, the +3000 odds will drop significantly and most of the betting value is lost.
Considering he scored four times and 220 receiving yards in his first three games as a rookie, it's clear his connection with QB Joe Burrow is strong and the duo should connect plenty in 2022. The only counterargument for Chase’s candidacy is how high he set the bar in 2021. Voters tend to look at year-over-year performance along with a team’s record in the standings when tabbing a winner. This means the Bengals will likely need to finish with at least 10 wins again just for Chase to be considered. At +3000, it’s worth a stab to see if the Bengals were a fluke in 2021.
Understanding NFL Offensive Player of the Year Odds
Betting on NFL Futures like Offensive Player of the Year odds is a decent way for bettors to find extra value going into the season. The odds for the player are typically inflated compared to something more popular like Super Bowl odds which can allow new and seasoned bettors to find profitable angles. Below, FTNBets will show you how the odds work, what they mean and what you’d be rewarded if you make a winning pick for odds to win NFL Offensive Player of the Year.
When you go to an online sportsbook like BetMGM that offers NFL OPOY odds, you’ll see the betting odds listed like this:
These numbers beside the players are called American Odds and are based on individual $100 bets. It indicates what you would get paid if you’re correct with that winning bet. The player with the lowest number beside them is considered the betting favorite for this market. In this case, the favorite is Cooper Kupp of the Los Angeles Rams.
Let’s say you think Kupp wins the NFL Offensive Player of the Year award again in 2022. If you were to bet $100 on Kupp and he wins the award, your sportsbook would reward you with $900 — your $100 bet is returned, and you win $800 in profit.
To see how much you’d win on the NFL OPOY odds, check out our Parlay Calculator. It’ll show you what your payout would be based on the odds and amount wagered.
Known as the “NFL Touchdown Prop God”, Gilles Gallant brings his years of betting experience and wealth of sports knowledge to the FTN family. Hailing from Canada and known as @GDAWG5000 on Twitter, he is an expert in NFL, NBA, MLB, college hoops and any bet that offers plus money. Bonne Chance!