In what’s being described as one of the best NBA Draft classes in league history, one rookie stands alone as the betting favorite for 2021-2022 NBA Rookie of the Year odds.
Evan Mobley of the Cleveland Cavaliers is listed as -110 at sportsbooks like BetMGM to win the 2021-22 NBA Rookie of the Year award. The third overall pick out of USC was highly touted coming out of college with some debate about whether he should go first overall.
As for other contenders in odds to win NBA Rookie of the Year, look no further than up North as Toronto Raptors Scottie Barnes has the second-best odds to win the hardware. The fourth overall pick is a do-it-all forward who fills the stat sheet while guarding multiple positions.
The preseason favorite for NBA Rookie of the Year odds was Cade Cunningham, who the Detroit Pistons took first overall and was listed at +250. Cunningham missed the first nine games of the season, so he’s been playing catchup to his contemporaries, but sportsbooks trust he may still make his presence felt with his odds only shifting to +350 to win the award.
To round out the top five options for NBA rookie betting odds are Orlando Magic’s Franz Wagner (+1200) and Oklahoma City Thunder’s Josh Giddey (+2500). Wagner has been a catalyst on offense for the Magic with his ability to make plays and shoot from behind the arc while Giddey may be the best passer from this draft. The latter just notched his first triple-double of his career and is one of two rookies to accomplish the feat this season with the other being Cunninham.
Let’s break down why Mobley is the betting favorite and if there’s a long shot draft pick we should be considering for NBA Rookie of the Year odds.
Why Is Evan Mobley Favored for NBA Rookie of the Year Odds?
There are a few statistical reasons for why Evan Mobley is favored for odds to win NBA Rookie of the Year, but on the surface, it’s mainly because of how well the Cleveland Cavaliers are doing in the standings.
Picked to finish near the bottom of the Eastern Conference, the Cavs sit at 21-17 through 38 games and that’s mainly because of their defense, which starts with Mobley. The 6-foot-11 rookie can switch on to guards if needed but can also swat away shots like the best of them as averages 1.8 blocks per game, which ranks fifth in the NBA. As a result, the Cavaliers are holding teams to 102.3 points per game, which ranks second in the NBA. To put that statistic in perspective, the Cavs ranked 18th in that category last season while giving up 112.3 points per game. It shouldn’t be a shock to see the only difference on the roster from year-to-year is Mobley.
Then when you just look at Mobley’s individual stats, it’s hard not to get excited about this new hybrid of big man. He’s averaging 15 points and eight rebounds a game as the third scoring option while being one of six players to average at least 1.5 blocks per game and one steal per game. He also can run the floor like a gazelle. The only “knock” on him so far is he doesn’t get to the free throw line much (2.8 attempts per game) while only shooting 30% from behind the arc. Those are forgivable for an NBA rookie who is still feeling it out. Voters for NBA Rookie of the Year definitely value winning and if the Cavs can make the playoffs after being picked to finish with one of the worst records, Mobley will get significant credit attributed to him for pushing this team back to respectability. However, the value may be all but gone to bet on him for NBA Rookie of the Year odds with it now at -110.
Understanding NBA Rookie of the Year odds
When betting on odds to win NBA Rookie of the Year, the odds can sometimes be confusing for a new bettor. Below, FTNBets will explain what to look for when getting ready to place a bet. After you’ve signed up for a sportsbook in your state and deposited funds to wager with, the NBA Rookie of the Year odds should look something like this:
Each of these players are the top-four options at your sportsbook to win NBA ROY and the numbers beside them are American odds. This means what your potential payouts would be if you were to bet $100 on them. The player with the lowest number is considered the betting favorite. In this case, it’s Cade Cunningham.
Let’s say you think Cunningham wins NBA Rookie of the Year and you bet $100 on him. If he wins, your sportsbook would pay you $350 — your $100 is returned and you’d get $250 in profit. On the flip side, maybe you think Jalen Suggs will ball out in Orlando and you decide to bet $100 on him for NBA Rookie of the Year odds. If Suggs wins, you’d get $900 paid to you by your sportsbook with your original $100 bet returned and $800 in profit.
Known as the “NFL Touchdown Prop God”, Gilles Gallant brings his years of betting experience and wealth of sports knowledge to the FTN family. Hailing from Canada and known as @GDAWG5000 on Twitter, he is an expert in NFL, NBA, MLB, college hoops and any bet that offers plus money. Bonne Chance!