After an entertaining and profitable first week of college football, we now have a little bit of new data to make our pick with. This is a tremendous opportunity to take the value oddsmakers give us before adjusting to what's happening on the field. Some of our best plays will come before the end of the first month.
One of the simplest ways to walk away a bigger winner each college football Saturday is to take advantage of parlays. Stacking lines and totals offer tremendously good value compared to individual bets. Of course we want to jump into the action.
We have three great parlays available that we had to jump on. We'll continue to break down the main slate like this for each week of the season. Welcome to Week 2.
Wyoming Cowboys at Northern Illinois Huskies (12:30 p.m. ET Saturday)
There's a certain beauty that goes along with betting on bad teams. Wyoming, coming off a 19-16 home win against Montana State, allowed the Bobcats to pass for 200 yards and feature a 100-yard rusher with great efficiency. Yet, the “bend, don't break” defense succeeded in pulling out the win.
Northern Illinois also won last week, upsetting Georgia Tech, thanks to a dominant rushing performance from Harrison Waylee. It was the team's third consecutive one-score game, a concerning trend that can easily tip the other way. I think this is the game that goes the other way.
I'm relying a bit on models and the overall matchup than just what we saw last week but am keeping the faith in the more proven predictors than just the stat sheet. Wyoming will pull away late like they did last week as both teams find the scoreboard with relative ease.
Our bet: Wyoming -6.5 (-115) and Over 44.5 (-108)
Air Force Falcons at Navy Midshipmen (3:30 p.m. ET Saturday)
I had to do a double take when I saw Air Force only given 5.5 points against the lowly Midshipmen. This is a must-bet game at this line. The question for me isn't whether Air Force covers, but rather if the total is attainable by just the Falcons.
Air Force's deadly rushing attack blitzed Lafayette's defense by racking up 370 yards and five scores on the ground. The Midshipmen were stout in the trenches against Marshall but were dominated through the air. The Falcons don't have a quarterback nearly as good as Grant Wells of Marshall but have the ability to sustain blocks better than Marshall and beat Navy at their own game.
I think this is a relatively easy cover as a parlay. Every metric and projection model I use finds Air Force as the overwhelming favorite and capable of hitting the over on their own.
Our bet: Air Force -5.5 (-112) and Over 40.5 (-114)
Who doesn't want to watch a game featuring two teams that were blown out by 47 and 50 in their Week 1 matchup, respectfully, between Temple and Akron? The good news is we have a sweet line that gets us incredible value. Temple was obliterated against Rutgers in one of the freakiest games I've seen, and I'm confident enough that was an aberration to lay money on the Owls.
The Zips are also an abysmal team, whereas Temple tends to lose close games. Akron lost seven times in the last 10 matchups they've had by 36 or more points. Their lone win last year was against a similarly terrible Bowling Green Squad. Temple isn't that bad.
Owls rusher Edward Saydee should terrorize the Zips' defense en route to a comfortable two-score road win.