As player props continue to slowly drip out, there are some massive middle opportunities giving bettors the ability to create some extreme positive expected value situations for themselves. The last two days I have written up five different passing props — for Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson, Dak Prescott, Josh Allen and Matthew Stafford — and posted all of those picks in the FTN Bet Tracker.
DraftKings Sportsbook has released passing props on four of the five quarterbacks, where we have beaten their lines by at least 150 yards and in some cases by as much as 470 yards. Let's take a look at the biggest middling opportunities available in the passing marketing right now.
There best middling opportunities available
Josh Allen player props
470-yard middle opportunity
On FOX Bet, Allen’s prop currently sits at 4,130.5 passing yards, a number he easily eclipsed last year, and he currently projects for 4,574 yards on FTN. DraftKings got the number right, lining him at 4,600 passing yards — a 470-yard middle. This is absolutely worth a player and it's worth adding more to Allen over 4,130.5 passing yards on FOX Bet as well.
Matthew Stafford player props
350-yard middle opportunity
The theme you are starting to see unfold is that FOX Bet set some bad lines on QB passing props. With DraftKings lining him at 4,700.5 passing yards and FOX Bet setting him at 4,350.5 passing yards, you have a 350-yard middle opportunity. Our Jeff Ratcliffe has Stafford projected for 4,788 passing yards — soaring over his FOX Bet line. This is a great time to add more to Stafford on FOX Bet and a successful strategy could be to put 2 units on his over at FOX Bet and 1 on his under on DraftKings.
Patrick Mahomes player props
345-yard middle opportunity