Quarterback Josh Allen was fantastic last year, but the Bills enter 2021 with a world of hype around them, and this number just feels inflated. And, historically, bettors have not had success going against the Steelers, who are a fantastic 40-21-3 against the spread as underdogs under head coach Mike Tomlin.
If you even wanted to back the Steelers on the moneyline (+265 at FanDuel), I wouldn’t blame you: As an underdog, Tomlin is 31-28.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Cleveland Browns Week 1 odds
Here is my betting pick for the matchup between the Chiefs and Browns in Week 1.
This line is -4.5 at every other book, so there’s notable lineshopping value in the -4 at Caesars.
But, honestly, even on the road, the Ravens should be favored by close to a touchdown against the Raiders, who last year allowed a league-high 50.3% of drives to end with an offensive score.
In his 13 years with the Ravens, head coach John Harbaugh is 10-3 ATS in Week 1, and that’s probably not luck given that he is also 9-4 ATS off the regular-season bye. If Harbaugh has sufficient time to prepare, his team performs.