MLB Best Bets – Free (Wednesday 5/8)
Josh Gross
Rachaad WhiteRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 12
Browns vs. Buccaneers
Right now, Rachaad White’s rushing yards prop is set at 70.5 yards (-139/+102).
The public has bet the OVER up to 70.5 (-139) after it opened @ 65.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Buccaneers are a 3.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the 2nd-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 63.2 plays per game.
- The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
- The Cleveland Browns defense has had the 3rd-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, conceding 5.40 yards-per-carry.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 3rd-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 36.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year in run blocking.
Projection
THE BLITZ
73
Rushing Yards
73
Rushing Yards
