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Chris Meaney
Zay FlowersReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 20
Ravens vs. Texans
Right now, Zay Flowers’s receiving yards prop is set at 49.5 yards (-104/-131).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 49.5 (-131) after it opened @ 51.5 (-117).
Pros
- Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to have 137.0 plays on offense run: the most out of all the games this week.
- With a remarkable 91.8% Route% (89th percentile) this year, Zay Flowers rates as one of the WRs with the highest volume in the league.
- The model projects Zay Flowers to total 7.8 targets in this week’s contest, on average, putting him in the 85th percentile among wide receivers.
- Zay Flowers profiles as one of the top wide receivers in the league this year, averaging an exceptional 52.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 77th percentile.
- The Houston Texans defense has allowed the 3rd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (154.0) versus wide receivers this year.
Cons
- With a 9.5-point advantage, the Ravens are overwhelmingly favored in this week’s game, implying much more of an emphasis on running than their normal approach.
- Our trusted projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to be the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 49.8% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
- The weather report calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
- The Houston cornerbacks rank as the 3rd-best collection of CBs in football this year in pass coverage.
Projection
THE BLITZ
61
Receiving Yards
61
Receiving Yards
