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Chris Meaney
Zay FlowersReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 21
Ravens vs. Chiefs
Right now, Zay Flowers’s receiving yards prop is set at 43.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 43.5 (-110) after it opened @ 48.5 (-110).
Pros
- The projections expect this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Zay Flowers has run a route on 91.5% of his offense’s dropbacks this year, putting him in the 89th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
- The predictive model expects Zay Flowers to garner 6.7 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 85th percentile among wideouts.
- Zay Flowers has been responsible for a monstrous 23.4% of his team’s air yards this year: 78th percentile when it comes to WRs.
- Zay Flowers ranks as one of the top wide receivers in the game this year, averaging a terrific 51.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 76th percentile.
Cons
- With a 4.5-point advantage, the Ravens are favored this week, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their standard game plan.
- The predictive model expects the Ravens to be the least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 50.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
- Opposing teams have averaged 27.2 pass attempts per game against the Chiefs defense this year: fewest in football.
- This year, the tough Kansas City Chiefs defense has surrendered a feeble 108.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wideouts: the 3rd-best in the league.
- This year, the stout Kansas City Chiefs defense has yielded the 4th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wide receivers: a measly 7.3 yards.
Projection
THE BLITZ
49
Receiving Yards
49
Receiving Yards
