One of the best feelings in sports betting is when you research and grind to identify a key mismatch in a game or a futures market to back a plus-money underdog.…and it hits! The vindication and reassurance that comes with hitting an underdog play can make you feel on top of the world and I want to bring that feeling to you daily. Welcome to Gilles Gallant’s, aka GDawg’s, “Dog of the Day”.
Each day, I’ll provide you with my best bet in a wide variety of sports like NBA, MLB, NFL or NCAA Basketball. This could be a regular-season game or a futures market like “NFL Super Bowl odds.”
Here’s the catch: my pick will only be a plus money pick. No favorites or any odds that have a minus sign (-) in front of it. The goal is to always double your investment each day.
My free betting picks will be posted here with a rundown at the bottom. If you’ve missed it, you can also check out the FTNBets’ bet tracker, where you can see every official bet I’ve ever made.
Dog of the Day - NFL Betting Pick - July 31
Sean Payton for 2021 NFL Coach of the Year Odds: +2500 Sportsbook: BetMGM
I wrote about NFL Coach of the Year odds for the 2021 season, and while Brandon Staley of the Los Angeles Chargers is the favorite, I went off the beaten path and took a nice longshot underdog bet. It’s the New Orleans Saints coach Sean Payton.
Here’s an excerpt of what I wrote about him this past week:
“Is there another team in the NFL that has been written off as much as the New Orleans Saints have been this offseason? After winning double-digit games for the last four seasons, most analysts have the Saints missing the playoffs in 2021 with projected win totals hovering around 9 or 9.5 depending on the sportsbook.
Well, the Saints have the talent and coaching ingenuity to surpass all expectations, which makes head coach Sean Payton a prime candidate to show his coaching chops and win NFL Coach of the Year. He’s already got the deck stacked against him with future Hall-of-Famer QB Drew Brees retiring after 15 years with the franchise and now, All-Pro WR Michael Thomas is expected to miss 4-6 games to start the season.
That being said, this is nothing new for Payton (+2500), and we saw these two variables play out in 2020 and the Saints didn’t miss a beat. Thomas missed nine games last year while Brees was lost for four games and here’s the incredible part: The Saints were 3-1 in games that Brees missed and 6-3 in the games Thomas sat out. This team keeps chugging along, and it’s because of Payton’s ability to squeeze out points from limited offenses. It remains to be seen what kind of schemes the Saints head coach draws up with the likes of Jameis Winston and Taysom Hill at QB, but Payton has shown that he can win without his offensive studs in the lineup.
If the Saints' offense is still respectable and moving the chains, that is music to Payton’s ears because the New Orleans defense is formidable. They have a playmaker at every level of their defense with Cameron Jordan (22.5 sacks over the last two seasons), Demario Davis (110 or more solo tackles last three seasons) and then Marshon Lattimore, who can still play on an island and lock up a team’s top receiving option.
It won’t be an easy win for Payton in the NFL Coach of the Year futures market. The AP members voting for this award may still hold a grudge for his role in “Bountygate'' and his team’s recent shortcomings in the playoffs may be too much of a negative narrative for him to overcome. However, if he can somehow lead this team to 11 or more wins with Winston and/or Hill as his quarterbacks, you could argue the award should be renamed after him for that accomplishment alone.”
What are the best betting props for today?
The number of props for a given game to bet on in any league like the NFL, NBA or MLB can be overwhelming for new bettors. For someone just starting, the statistics and angles to consider when wagering on betting props is half the battle and FTNBets is here to help you wage war (figuratively, of course) with Las Vegas and the oddsmakers.
FTNBets has some of the sharpest betting minds in the industry to help you identify the best betting props for every sport. Whether that’s a O/U prop for strikeouts from Jacob deGrom with the New York Mets or if LeBron James with the Los Angeles Lakers will have a double-double vs. the Boston Celtics.
To ensure you get the best possible betting odds, use FTNBets’ Prop Shop to do odds comparisons and shop around to see what sportsbooks are offering the best value for your betting prop.
Today’s betting odds - MLB, NBA, NFL, CFB, etc.
No matter what sport you regularly bet on, knowing the latest betting odds is crucial for long-term success. Being able to pounce on a favorable spread or total can sometimes be the difference between winning and losing your bet.
With FTNBets, you can track up-to-the-minute betting odds for every game, props and futures market. If you see something you like and want to bet on it, check out our best sportsbooks guide to see which one you can use in your respective state and the type of promotions each offers.
Here are the top sports and the latest betting odds for each:
If you need help to understand the odds and what payouts each would entail if you win your bet, use our parlay calculator (link) to get you up to speed.
Using FTNBets’ Prop Shop to maximize player prop value
One of the best ways to optimize your prop bets long-term is to have CLV (closing line value) and to ensure you’re getting the best possible value for your wager. Allow us to introduce you to FTNBets’ Prop Shop.
This cutting-edge tool, which is free for all users, compiles a list of every available prop and its betting odds from sportsbooks available in your state. This way, you don’t have to have multiple tabs or windows open in your browser to do an odds comparison.
Let’s pretend you’re from New Jersey and want to bet on Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes to win NFL MVP for the 2021 regular season. If you go to the Prop Shop and enter his name into the field, here’s what would come up before the season starts:
As you can see, there are six different online sportsbooks that offer NFL MVP futures and each has varied odds. The key for the Prop Shop tool is to see which sportsbook has the best odds and provides the biggest bang for your buck. For this example, BetMGM is offering the highest odds (+500) while offering a promotion of a $600 free bet when you sign up. It’s that simple.
Even if you don’t make the bet today, this tool can still be utilized as a reference point to start your daily handicapping while getting a feel for the types of odds available for a respective prop.
Gilles Gallant’s “Dog of the Day” Betting Picks
Sean Payton To Win NFL Coach of the Year +2500 (July 31)
Blue Jays -2.5 Alt. Runline +130 (July 30) (LOSS)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to hit HR +350 (July 30) (LOSS)
Sharife Cooper U22.5 Draft Position +120 (July 29) (LOSS)
Seattle Mariners ML +105 (July 28) (LOSS)
Seattle Mariners ML +140 (July 27) (LOSS)
Seattle Mariners ML +160 (July 26) (WIN)
Dallas Cowboys to miss the playoffs +115 (July 24)
Giants -1.5 RL +110 (July 23) (LOSS)
Phillies ML +120 (July 22) (LOSS)
Giants ML +145 (July 21) (WIN)
Yankees ML +110 (July 20) (WIN)
Red Sox ML +110 (July 19) (WIN)
Reds ML +110 (July 17) (LOSS)
White Sox ML +125 (July 16) (LOSS)
Suns ML at +170 (July 14) (LOSS)
American League -1.5 Runline in MLB ASG at +170 (July 13) (WIN)
Washington To Win NFC East at +200 (July 12)
Pat Connaughton 3+ 3PT Made +300 (July 11) (LOSS)
Conor McGregor KO/TKO or DQ at +140 (July 10) (LOSS)
Red Sox -1.5 Runline at +140 (July 9) (WIN)
Bucks 1H ML at +155 (July 8) (LOSS)
Pat Connaugton O1.5 3PT Made at +145 (July 8) (WIN)
Oakland Athletics Moneyline at +125 (July 7) (LOSS)
Cam Johnson O1.5 3PT at +140 (July 6) (WIN)
Cleveland Browns To Win AFC North at +165 (July 5)
Known as the “NFL Touchdown Prop God”, Gilles Gallant brings his years of betting experience and wealth of sports knowledge to the FTN family. Hailing from Canada and known as @GDAWG5000 on Twitter, he is an expert in NFL, NBA, MLB, college hoops and any bet that offers plus money. Bonne Chance!